16th June 2025
Morning Bell - Grady Wulff
Escalation of attacks between Iran and Israel hit global markets on Friday.
Wall Street closed lower as investors assessed the worsening tensions in the Middle East with the S&P500 dropping1.13%, while the Dow Jones lost 1.8% and the tech heavy Nasdaq ended the day down 1.3%. Oil and defensive stocks rose on Friday amid the rising price of oil due to Middle East tensions and as investors buy into the defence sector driven by rising geopolitical tensions.
In Europe on Friday markets closed in the red after Israel launched air strikes on Iran. The STOXX 600 fell 1%, Germany’s DAX and the French CAC each lost 1.1% and, in the UK, the FTSE100 ended the day down 0.5%.
Across the Asia region on Friday markets closed mixed as investors assessed an announcement by Trump that a deal had been done with China to the effect of 55% on imports from China into the U.S. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng fell 1.11% on Friday, China’s CSI index closed flat, Japan’s Nikkei fell 0.65% and south Korea’s Kospi index rose 0.45%.
Locally on Friday, the ASX200 posted a 0.2% loss after Israel attacked Iran’s nuclear program sites in a significant escalation of tensions in the Middle East.
Luxury online fashion retailer Cettire tanked a further 20% on Friday following a 31% drop on Thursday after the company announced its second profit downgrade in less than two months, citing uncertainty around tariffs and elevated promotional activity as the drivers of the downgrades.
Gold miners jumped on Friday amid the renewed geopolitical tensions driving investor uncertainty hence leading to a flock to safe-havens, while energy stocks also soared on the 13% spike in brent oil prices amid the rising Middle East tensions.
What to watch today:
- On the commodities front this morning oil is trading 7.26% higher at US$72.98/barrel, gold is up 1.36% at US$3432/ounce and iron ore is down 0.08% at US$95.38/tonne.
- The Aussie dollar has weakened against the greenback to buy 64.85 US cents, 93.59 Japanese Yen, 47.96 British Pence and 1 New Zealand dollar and 8 cents.
- Ahead of Monday’s trading session the SPI futures are anticipating the ASX will open the day down 0.23%.
Trading Ideas:
- Bell Potter has reduced the 12-month price target on Accent Group (ASX:AX1) from $2.60 to $2.10 and maintain a buy rating on the footwear and fashion retailer following the company providing a FY25 trading update last week including group like-for-like sales down 1% in 2H25 to date, and gross margins fell 80bps on the PCP.
- Trading Central has identified a bullish signal on New Hope Corporation (ASX:NHC) following the formation of a pattern over a period of 85-days which is roughly the same amount of time the share price may rise from the close of $3.87 to the range of $4.60 to $4.75 according to standard principles of technical analysis.